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Published Aug 30, 2024
Fearless Forecast: Northwestern vs. Miami (Ohio)
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Matthew Shelton  •  WildcatReport
Managing Editor

The 2024 season has arrived and WildcatReport's Fearless Forecasts have returned!

The Wildcats open their campaign at their new temporary home, Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium, against Miami (Ohio), the reigning MAC champions.

Northwestern has improbably been on the losing end of this all-time series, just 3-7 against the RedHawks, including an embarrassing 17-14 loss at home in their last matchup in 2022. The oddsmakers have paid attention and the Wildcats are just three-point favorites for their home opener against a Group of Five opponent.

But it's a new era in Evanston, and head coach David Braun and his staff hope to set the program's trademark slow starts behind them. New offensive coordinator Zach Lujan has arrived from South Dakota State and, while the staff has stayed quiet on publicly naming a starter, we think that grad transfer Mike Wright from Mississippi State will get the nod at quarterback.

Together they're all hoping to do their part and back up a defense that, while it has a new play-caller in Tim McGarigle, returns heaps of experienced veterans to execute the familiar system that Braun installed last season.

Will the Wildcats get a victory in their new, temporary home on the lakefront? We make our predictions.

Matt Shelton (0-0)

The Wildcats have a lot to figure out up front on offense, but their experienced defense will keep the RedHawks in check long enough for Lujan to find his Division I sea legs on the lakefront. Northwestern's offense is a point of excitement for the first time in several years with game-changing speed from Wright, running back Joseph Himon II and wide receiver AJ Henning. Combined with captain and bell cow back Cam Porter, the Wildcats will assert themselves at the point of attack and on the outside.

Miami has sixth-year senior Brett Gabbert, but the Wildcats have a ferocious and deep defensive line that can make even the most veteran operators uncomfortable. Toss in safeties like Coco Azema and Devin Turner, and Northwestern has the tools to overcome a tough loss at cornerback with Ore Adeyi's injury.

The RedHawks return a lot from their 11-3 season last year, but will notably be without 1,000 yard rusher Rashad Amos, who transferred to Ole Miss for 2024.

Northwestern's staff and players are hungry to put the team's past of early inconsistency behind them, and they'll do that with a reliable win over their MAC foe.

Fearless Forecast: Northwestern 28 Miami 17


Louie Vaccher (0-0)

I don't like this game for Northwestern. At all. The Wildcats are hosting a house warming party and invited the kind of guest who will spill red wine on the new white carpet.

Beat a MAC team and everyone yawns. Lose, and it's embarrassing. And this is no ordinary MAC team. The RedHawks have a veteran gunslinger in Gabbert and most of the stingy defense that finished eighth in the country in scoring last season. After winning seven of nine games in Evanston all-time, Miami doesn't figure to be intimidated, either.

The Wildcats' rock-solid defense will keep the RedHawks in check, but you have to figure that Lujan's new offense will have a few first-game hiccups. Northwestern's offensive line, which will have a couple new faces in the lineup, may not be able to just outmuscle the RedHawks up front.

It's going to be a tight, low-scoring and physical game that may come down to which quarterback makes fewer mistakes and more plays. The RedHawks have a sixth-year man, the Wildcats a fifth-year.

It's a toss-up.

Fearless Forecast: Northwestern 20 Miami 17

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